Red N Sassy
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.62
7.24 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $3.26 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.88%
3,431 openings, odds method
Variance
38.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
43.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
56.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,431 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$3.627.24 coins$301602 coins83.13x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.62 | 89.99% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%covert knife 0.0%classified 40.0%Immortal 0.0%mil spec 22.4%industrial 19.4%#87c7ff 9.7%#4b69ff 8.4%best hit $301 (83.13x)