Price
$627.30
1,255 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
27.66%
448 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 448 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$6271,255 coins$6,64813,296 coins10.60x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$6271,255 coins$6,56213,124 coins10.46x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$6271,255 coins$2,5395,078 coins4.05x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$6271,255 coins$2,5395,078 coins4.05x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$6271,255 coins$2,5395,078 coins4.05x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$6271,255 coins$2,5395,078 coins4.05x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$6271,255 coins$2,5395,078 coins4.05x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$6271,255 coins$2,5395,078 coins4.05x
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$6271,255 coins$2,5395,078 coins4.05x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$6271,255 coins$5011,001 coins0.80x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$6271,255 coins$5011,001 coins0.80x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$6271,255 coins$5011,001 coins0.80x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $6,648 (10.60x)