Rodney Rooster

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$26.86
53.71 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $24.17 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.27%
118 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
94.19%±23.71110 openings
30 days
91.27%±22.89118 openings
since tracking started
91.27%±22.89118 openings
67.5%93.0%118.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d11094.19%±23.7+0.3σodds
30d11891.27%±22.9+0.1σodds
All11891.27%±22.9+0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 118 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 400$352 705 coins3.6%00.3—
Charm | Titeenium AWPcharm · Legendary1 in 286$226 451 coins3.3%10.4—
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd7001 in 133$175 351 coins5.4%00.9—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 50$92.80 186 coins7.7%32.41.27×
★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 38$70.09 140 coins7.7%23.10.64×
★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 25$62.54 125 coins10.4%114.72.33×
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon1 in 20$55.01 110 coins11.4%45.90.68×
AK-47 | Predator (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 17$46.41 92.81 coins11.5%97.11.27×
Charm | Baby's AKcharm · Rare1 in 14$39.00 78 coins11.3%68.30.73×
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified10.0%$34.03 68.06 coins14.1%1311.81.10×
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New)weapon · Rare10.0%$25.16 50.31 coins10.4%611.80.51×
P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common52.0%$1.51 3.02 coins3.2%6361.41.03×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$26.8653.71 coins$1.513.02 coins0.06x
P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$26.8653.71 coins$1.513.02 coins0.06x
★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert$26.8653.71 coins$62.54125 coins2.33x
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New)weapon · Rare$26.8653.71 coins$25.1650.31 coins0.94x
P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · CommonDemonDeeeeek$26.8653.71 coins$1.513.02 coins0.06x
P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$26.8653.71 coins$1.513.02 coins0.06x
P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · CommonFoxo16$26.8653.71 coins$1.513.02 coins0.06x
P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$26.8653.71 coins$1.513.02 coins0.06x
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$26.8653.71 coins$34.0368.06 coins1.27x
P90 | Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$26.8653.71 coins$1.513.02 coins0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$26.8690.00%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 4.3%Legendary 0.4%#ffd700 0.8%covert knife 4.7%other 5.0%industrial 6.0%Rare 17.0%classified 10.0%Common 52.0%best hit —