Ruby Roses

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$27.21

54.42 coins

Advertised RTP

89.99%

EV $24.49 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d

105.75%

1,586 openings, odds method

Variance

23.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 33

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

88.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

87.05%±60.12254 openings

7 days

97.04%±27.481,216 openings

30 days

105.75%±24.061,586 openings

since tracking started

105.75%±24.061,586 openings

26.5%87.3%148.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	254	87.05%±60.1	−0.1σ	odds
7d	1,216	97.04%±27.5	+0.5σ	odds
30d	1,586	105.75%±24.1	+1.3σ	odds
All	1,586	105.75%±24.1	+1.3σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,586 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 10,000	$8,347 16,693 coins	3.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 3,333	$3,107 6,214 coins	3.8%	1	0.5	—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 2,000	$1,973 3,946 coins	4.0%	3	0.8	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 1,667	$1,010 2,020 coins	2.5%	2	1.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby	1 in 1,429	$873 1,745 coins	2.5%	1	1.1	0.90×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby	1 in 100	$493 986 coins	20.1%	14	15.9	0.88×
AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 56	$334 668 coins	24.1%	34	28.1	1.21×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 20	$122 244 coins	25.0%	76	79.3	0.96×
★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 50	$70.67 141 coins	5.8%	35	31.7	1.10×
M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 50	$60.88 122 coins	5.0%	37	31.7	1.17×
AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 50	$26.89 53.78 coins	2.2%	32	31.7	1.01×
USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 50	$7.39 14.77 coins	0.6%	25	31.7	0.79×
P250 \| Muertos (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 50	$5.78 11.56 coins	0.5%	33	31.7	1.04×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 50	$3.61 7.22 coins	0.3%	38	31.7	1.20×
Tec-9 \| Isaac (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 50	$1.98 3.95 coins	0.2%	22	31.7	0.69×
Nova \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon	78.0%	$0.03 0.05 coins	0.1%	1,233	1237.2	1.00×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$27.2154.42 coins$3,1076,214 coins114.2x7d

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$27.2154.42 coins$1,9733,946 coins72.50x6d

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$27.2154.42 coins$1,9733,946 coins72.50x7d

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$27.2154.42 coins$1,0102,020 coins37.12x3d

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$27.2154.42 coins$1,0102,020 coins37.12x4d

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby$27.2154.42 coins$8731,745 coins32.07x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon$27.2154.42 coins$0.030.05 coins0.00x10h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$27.21	89.99%	16

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 6.2%Covert 0.1%classified 5.8%extraordinary 2.0%restricted 4.0%red 2.0%mil spec 2.0%Uncommon 78.0%best hit $3,107 (114.2x)