Rush B
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$18.02
36.03 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $16.21 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.31%
651 openings, odds method
Variance
22.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 67
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 651 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 133 | $657 1,315 coins | 30.4% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.43× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 133 | $554 1,107 coins | 25.6% | 1 | 4.9 | 0.20× |
| ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 133 | $401 802 coins | 18.5% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 133 | $352 705 coins | 16.3% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× |
| Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 17 | $10.01 20.02 coins | 3.7% | 50 | 39.1 | 1.28× |
| Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · #777777 | 23.0% | $2.01 4.01 coins | 2.8% | 141 | 149.7 | 0.94× |
| G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 30.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 1.9% | 209 | 195.3 | 1.07× |
| Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 38.0% | $0.30 0.6 coins | 0.7% | 234 | 247.4 | 0.95× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$18.0236.03 coins$6571,315 coins36.49x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$18.0236.03 coins$6571,315 coins36.49x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertKamy$18.0236.03 coins$6571,315 coins36.49x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$18.0236.03 coins$6571,315 coins36.49x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertinsane67$18.0236.03 coins$6571,315 coins36.49x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertAudio$18.0236.03 coins$6571,315 coins36.49x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$18.0236.03 coins$6571,315 coins36.49x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$18.0236.03 coins$5541,107 coins30.73x
Latest dropsnewest first
Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · #777777goofygooner$18.0236.03 coins$2.014.01 coins0.11x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.02 | 89.98% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.5%covert knife 1.5%industrial 6.0%#777777 23.0%mil spec 68.0%best hit $657 (36.49x)