Sandy Eggs

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.23
4.46 coins
Advertised RTP
89.88%
EV $2.00 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.56%
14.1K openings, odds method
Variance
27.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 71
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
85.09%±29.501,209 openings
7 days
91.57%±10.2510K openings
30 days
93.56%±8.6414.1K openings
since tracking started
93.56%±8.6414.1K openings
55.0%85.0%115.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,20985.09%±29.5−0.3σodds
7d10K91.57%±10.2+0.3σodds
30d14.1K93.56%±8.64+0.8σodds
All14.1K93.56%±8.64+0.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 500$100 201 coins10.0%3028.21.06×
★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 500$90.70 181 coins9.0%2428.20.85×
★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 500$83.22 166 coins8.3%2628.20.92×
★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 500$79.44 159 coins7.9%2628.20.92×
★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 500$76.83 154 coins7.7%3428.21.20×
★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 500$66.38 133 coins6.6%3228.21.13×
★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 500$63.33 127 coins6.3%3428.21.20×
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 500$60.29 121 coins6.0%3528.21.24×
★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 500$59.01 118 coins5.9%2828.20.99×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 500$56.87 114 coins5.7%3128.21.10×
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · industrial1 in 500$55.81 112 coins5.6%2028.20.71×
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 500$53.22 106 coins5.3%3428.21.20×
AK-47 | First Class (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 500$52.23 104 coins5.2%2628.20.92×
★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 500$51.73 103 coins5.2%3328.21.17×
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 500$50.22 100 coins5.0%3128.21.10×
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff97.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.2%13,67813698.31.00×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffconR$2.234.46 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.88%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$2.2389.88%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 0.4%Immortal 0.2%covert 1.2%Covert 0.2%industrial 0.2%extraordinary 0.6%restricted 0.2%#4b69ff 97.0%best hit —