Price
$50.00
100 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
118.71%
762 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 762 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$50.00100 coins$6,89213,784 coins137.8x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Rubyapiu52$50.00100 coins$6,89213,784 coins137.8x
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$50.00100 coins$3,5927,183 coins71.83x
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$50.00100 coins$3,5927,183 coins71.83x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$50.00100 coins$2,8445,688 coins56.88x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearlapiu52$50.00100 coins$2,8445,688 coins56.88x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $8,972 (179.4x)