Shotgun

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$59.78
120 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
96.82%
920 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
616 openings · below min
7 days
920 openings · below min
30 days
920 openings · below min
since tracking started
920 openings · below min
42.0%92.5%143.0%

Small sample. 920 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h61675.73%±33.0—sample
7d92096.82%±45.5—sample
30d92096.82%±45.5—sample
All92096.82%±45.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted$59.78120 coins$2.695.38 coins0.04x
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted$59.78120 coins$2.695.38 coins0.04x
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted$59.78120 coins$2.695.38 coins0.04x
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$59.78120 coins$9.7519.5 coins0.16x
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$59.78120 coins$16.7633.52 coins0.28x
Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted$59.78120 coins$2.695.38 coins0.04x
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New)weapon · restricted$59.78120 coins$2.705.39 coins0.05x
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$59.78120 coins$9.7519.5 coins0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,752 (129.7x)