shrek swamp 25%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.00
10 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
104.14%
1,206 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
48 openings · below min
7 days
826 openings · below min
30 days
104.14%±36.101,206 openings
since tracking started
104.14%±36.101,206 openings
11.5%150.8%290.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h48150.70%±138.8—sample
7d826118.51%±50.7—sample
30d1,206104.14%±36.1—sample
All1,206104.14%±36.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$5.0010 coins$11.6823.36 coins2.34x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$5.0010 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$5.0010 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$5.0010 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$5.0010 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$5.0010 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$5.0010 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$5.0010 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$5.0010 coins$9.7519.5 coins1.95x
SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$5.0010 coins$11.6823.36 coins2.34x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $491 (98.13x)