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Silent Strike

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.35
24.7 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $11.11 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.56%
328 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
91.13%±13.60324 openings
30 days
90.56%±13.52328 openings
since tracking started
90.56%±13.52328 openings
16.5%117.3%218.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6117.18%±100.0—odds
7d32491.13%±13.6+0.2σodds
30d32890.56%±13.5+0.1σodds
All32890.56%±13.5+0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 328 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100$69.34 139 coins6.2%23.30.61×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 100$62.94 126 coins5.7%23.30.61×
Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE61 in 100$60.91 122 coins5.5%43.31.22×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 100$52.51 105 coins4.7%43.31.22×
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100$50.58 101 coins4.6%33.30.91×
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 33$39.94 79.87 coins10.8%99.80.91×
USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New)weapon · Restricted1 in 33$34.64 69.27 coins9.3%109.81.02×
USP-S | Ancient Visions (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted1 in 33$33.81 67.61 coins9.1%139.81.32×
USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 33$22.86 45.72 coins6.2%149.81.42×
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 33$22.82 45.63 coins6.2%59.80.51×
USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 33$19.52 39.04 coins5.3%109.81.02×
M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 20$14.17 28.33 coins6.4%2216.41.34×
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 20$11.22 22.44 coins5.0%1516.40.91×
M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 17$7.59 15.17 coins4.1%2019.71.02×
M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 17$4.88 9.76 coins2.6%2019.71.02×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary55.0%$1.69 3.37 coins8.3%175180.40.97×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$12.3524.7 coins$1.693.37 coins0.14x
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$12.3524.7 coins$1.693.37 coins0.14x
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary$12.3524.7 coins$1.693.37 coins0.14x
M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$12.3524.7 coins$14.1728.33 coins1.15x
USP-S | Ancient Visions (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted$12.3524.7 coins$33.8167.61 coins2.74x
USP-S | Ancient Visions (Field-Tested)weapon · RestrictedMoon1025$12.3524.7 coins$33.8167.61 coins2.74x
M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$12.3524.7 coins$14.1728.33 coins1.15x
M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$12.3524.7 coins$14.1728.33 coins1.15x
M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$12.3524.7 coins$4.889.76 coins0.40x
M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$12.3524.7 coins$14.1728.33 coins1.15x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$12.3589.99%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 13.0%classified 15.0%#D32CE6 1.0%Mil Spec Grade 1.0%industrial 3.0%Restricted 6.0%mil spec 6.0%Legendary 55.0%best hit —