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Skeleton 10%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.00
100 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.89%
370 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
240 openings · below min
30 days
370 openings · below min
since tracking started
370 openings · below min
-0.5%114.3%229.0%

Small sample. 370 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d240105.24%±123.0—sample
30d37094.89%±81.8—sample
All37094.89%±81.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$50.00100 coins$7,44414,887 coins148.9x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$50.00100 coins$1,2522,504 coins25.04x
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · Immortal$50.00100 coins$5311,062 coins10.62x
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · Immortal$50.00100 coins$5311,062 coins10.62x
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · Immortal$50.00100 coins$5311,062 coins10.62x
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · Immortal$50.00100 coins$5311,062 coins10.62x
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · Immortal$50.00100 coins$5311,062 coins10.62x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · epic$50.00100 coins$310620 coins6.20x
★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · epicnigxoo$50.00100 coins$310620 coins6.20x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$50.00100 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,444 (148.9x)