Slice & Dice

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$120.48

241 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $108.43 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d

111.24%

15 openings, odds method

Variance

0.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

35.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

59.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

12 openings · below min

30 days

15 openings · below min

since tracking started

15 openings · below min

76.0%113.2%150.5%

Small sample. 15 openings and 5.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	12	113.06%±36.7	—	odds
30d	15	111.24%±32.8	—	odds
All	15	111.24%±32.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare	1 in 1,000	$1,353 2,706 coins	1.2%	0	0.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 53	$499 998 coins	8.7%	1	0.3	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 33	$257 515 coins	7.1%	0	0.4	—
★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	10.0%	$125 251 coins	11.6%	3	1.5	2.00×
★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	10.0%	$125 251 coins	11.6%	4	1.5	2.67×
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	10.0%	$125 251 coins	11.6%	2	1.5	1.33×
★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 17	$125 250 coins	6.9%	0	0.9	—
★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 17	$101 203 coins	5.6%	0	0.9	—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 17	$101 202 coins	5.6%	0	0.9	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife	1 in 17	$100 201 coins	5.6%	1	0.9	—
★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 17	$100 201 coins	5.6%	1	0.9	—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Stained (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	10.0%	$62.66 125 coins	5.8%	2	1.5	1.33×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 20	$58.23 116 coins	2.7%	0	0.7	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 20	$57.54 115 coins	2.7%	1	0.7	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 20	$57.14 114 coins	2.6%	0	0.7	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 20	$56.78 114 coins	2.6%	0	0.7	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 20	$56.72 113 coins	2.6%	0	0.7	—

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.