Slots Jackpot

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$88.09
176 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $79.28 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
121.98%
20 openings, odds method
Variance
3.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
50.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
20 openings · below min
30 days
20 openings · below min
since tracking started
20 openings · below min
42.0%122.0%202.0%

Small sample. 20 openings and 10.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d20121.98%±79.4—odds
30d20121.98%±79.4—odds
All20121.98%±79.4—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$88.09176 coins$1,1122,225 coins12.63x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$88.09176 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · Covert$88.09176 coins$110220 coins1.25x
★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · Covert$88.09176 coins$110220 coins1.25x
★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$88.09176 coins$1,1122,225 coins12.63x
★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · Covert$88.09176 coins$110220 coins1.25x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerprudent$88.09176 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$88.09176 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$88.09176 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$88.09176 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$88.0990.00%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 7.0%covert knife 4.0%#ffd700 1.0%Covert 38.0%consumer 50.0%best hit $1,112 (12.63x)