Snipers Lore

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$48.48
96.95 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
104.96%
556 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
112 openings · below min
7 days
556 openings · below min
30 days
556 openings · below min
since tracking started
556 openings · below min
-0.5%154.0%308.5%

Small sample. 556 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h112127.82%±180.2—sample
7d556104.96%±73.1—sample
30d556104.96%±73.1—sample
All556104.96%±73.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$48.4896.95 coins$4,9169,833 coins101.4x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$48.4896.95 coins$4,9169,833 coins101.4x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$48.4896.95 coins$4,9169,833 coins101.4x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$48.4896.95 coins$4,9169,833 coins101.4x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$48.4896.95 coins$2,0124,025 coins41.51x
AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert$48.4896.95 coins$8841,767 coins18.23x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$48.4896.95 coins$11.6223.23 coins0.24x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$48.4896.95 coins$0.070.15 coins0.00x
AWP | BOOM (Factory New)weapon · classified$48.4896.95 coins$259519 coins5.35x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$48.4896.95 coins$0.070.15 coins0.00x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$48.4896.95 coins$0.070.15 coins0.00x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecfficient$48.4896.95 coins$0.070.15 coins0.00x
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)weapon · covert$48.4896.95 coins$13.8527.7 coins0.29x
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)weapon · covert$48.4896.95 coins$13.8527.7 coins0.29x
AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$48.4896.95 coins$0.070.15 coins0.00x
AWP | BOOM (Factory New)weapon · classified$48.4896.95 coins$259519 coins5.35x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,916 (101.4x)