Stained Titan
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$8.27
16.53 coins
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $7.44 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.51%
168 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
36.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 168 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Flip Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 200 | $125 251 coins | 8.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $51.39 103 coins | 13.8% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.89× |
| M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $50.58 101 coins | 13.6% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.79× |
| Nova | Green Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Grade | 32.0% | $10.23 20.46 coins | 44.0% | 55 | 53.8 | 1.02× |
| Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec | 25.0% | $5.07 10.14 coins | 17.0% | 39 | 42.0 | 0.93× |
| Nova | Plume (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 13.0% | $0.63 1.25 coins | 1.1% | 26 | 21.8 | 1.19× |
| SSG 08 | Necropos (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 13.0% | $0.60 1.21 coins | 1.1% | 21 | 21.8 | 0.96× |
| AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare | 12.5% | $0.56 1.11 coins | 0.9% | 17 | 21.0 | 0.81× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Nova | Green Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial Gradefoulito$8.2716.53 coins$10.2320.46 coins1.24x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.27 | 89.97% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.5%Industrial Grade 32.0%Mil Spec 25.0%mil spec 13.0%#4b69ff 13.0%Rare 12.5%best hit —