Sticker win

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$101.72
203 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
46.71%
56 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
56 openings · below min
7 days
56 openings · below min
30 days
56 openings · below min
since tracking started
56 openings · below min
-0.5%55.5%111.5%

Small sample. 56 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5646.71%±64.3—sample
7d5646.71%±64.3—sample
30d5646.71%±64.3—sample
All5646.71%±64.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | JW (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinary$102203 coins$1,4102,820 coins13.86x
Sticker | mir (Gold) | Krakow 2017sticker · extraordinary$102203 coins$1,2502,500 coins12.29x

Latest dropsnewest first

XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$102203 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,410 (13.86x)