Price
$86.36
173 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
96.89%
890 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 890 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · rare$86.36173 coins$1,3532,706 coins15.67x
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)StatTrak · knife$86.36173 coins$9401,880 coins10.88x
Latest dropsnewest first
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)weapon · covert · Phase 3$86.36173 coins$44.5489.07 coins0.52x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$86.36173 coins$165329 coins1.91x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$86.36173 coins$105210 coins1.21x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $4,962 (57.46x)