Sunny Eagle
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$24.30
48.6 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $21.87 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
71.58%
100 openings, odds method
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 100 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 29 | $186 371 coins | 29.7% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× |
| Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 29 | $175 350 coins | 28.0% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× |
| FAMAS | Sundown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 20 | $66.41 133 coins | 15.2% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× |
| AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 13 | $18.99 37.97 coins | 6.9% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× |
| P90 | Sunset Lily (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 13 | $15.13 30.25 coins | 5.5% | 12 | 8.0 | 1.50× |
| P90 | Sunset Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 1 in 13 | $12.40 24.8 coins | 4.5% | 3 | 8.0 | 0.38× |
| AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial | 1 in 13 | $11.62 23.23 coins | 4.2% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× |
| MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 13 | $6.03 12.05 coins | 2.2% | 11 | 8.0 | 1.38× |
| MP9 | Setting Sun (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 16.0% | $3.21 6.41 coins | 2.3% | 19 | 16.0 | 1.19× |
| Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff | 32.0% | $0.86 1.72 coins | 1.3% | 33 | 32.0 | 1.03× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $24.30 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 7.0%#4b69ff 5.0%industrial 32.0%mil spec 24.0%#8847ff 32.0%best hit —