Super Chicken
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,394.13
2,788 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $1,254.71 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.71%
428 openings, odds method
Variance
12.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 428 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary | 1 in 100 | $36.5K 72,902 coins | 29.1% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable | 1 in 100 | $25.5K 51,019 coins | 20.3% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $15.1K 30,112 coins | 12.0% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× |
| ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald | 1 in 50 | $8,862 17,724 coins | 14.1% | 9 | 8.6 | 1.05× |
| ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire | 1 in 50 | $7,714 15,428 coins | 12.3% | 9 | 8.6 | 1.05× |
| ★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby | 1 in 50 | $7,651 15,302 coins | 12.2% | 12 | 8.6 | 1.40× |
| P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 91.0% | <$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 385 | 389.5 | 0.99× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$1,3942,788 coins$36.5K72,902 coins26.15x
Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendarybigbombaclat$1,3942,788 coins$36.5K72,902 coins26.15x
Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$1,3942,788 coins$36.5K72,902 coins26.15x
Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3942,788 coins$25.5K51,019 coins18.30x
Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3942,788 coins$25.5K51,019 coins18.30x
Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkablebigbombaclat$1,3942,788 coins$25.5K51,019 coins18.30x
Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3942,788 coins$25.5K51,019 coins18.30x
Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3942,788 coins$25.5K51,019 coins18.30x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$1,3942,788 coins$8,86217,724 coins6.36x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,394 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 1.0%remarkable 1.0%extraordinary 1.0%covert 6.0%#4b69ff 91.0%best hit $36.5K (26.15x)