Price
$7,924.90
15,850 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
57.71%
90 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 90 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$7,92515,850 coins$52.4K104,780 coins6.61x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$7,92515,850 coins$52.4K104,780 coins6.61x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkableyuckk$7,92515,850 coins$52.4K104,780 coins6.61x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)gloves · legendary$7,92515,850 coins$36.3K72,651 coins4.58x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert$7,92515,850 coins$26.7K53,347 coins3.37x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covertyuckk$7,92515,850 coins$26.7K53,347 coins3.37x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryyuckk$7,92515,850 coins$15.1K30,112 coins1.90x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryyuckk$7,92515,850 coins$15.1K30,112 coins1.90x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$7,92515,850 coins$7,75215,504 coins0.98x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryyuckk$7,92515,850 coins$15.1K30,112 coins1.90x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covertyuckk$7,92515,850 coins$26.7K53,347 coins3.37x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $73.5K (9.28x)