Taste the Faith

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.84
3.68 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
71.98%
344 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
176 openings · below min
30 days
344 openings · below min
since tracking started
344 openings · below min
29.0%69.0%109.0%

Small sample. 344 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d17653.15%±23.7—sample
30d34471.98%±36.4—sample
All34471.98%±36.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert$1.843.68 coins$105210 coins57.11x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x
M4A4 | Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.843.68 coins$0.140.27 coins0.07x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $105 (57.11x)