Telescope

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.28
24.55 coins
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $11.04 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.13%
112 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
92.13%±24.64112 openings
30 days
92.13%±24.64112 openings
since tracking started
92.13%±24.64112 openings
67.0%138.3%209.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18147.28%±61.5—odds
7d11292.13%±24.6+0.2σodds
30d11292.13%±24.6+0.2σodds
All11292.13%±24.6+0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 112 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 100$66.94 134 coins6.1%11.10.89×
FAMAS | Sundown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 100$66.41 133 coins6.0%11.10.89×
★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 100$63.17 126 coins5.7%11.10.89×
★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 100$62.66 125 coins5.7%01.10.00×
Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE61 in 100$60.91 122 coins5.5%31.12.68×
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$57.63 115 coins5.2%21.11.79×
AK-47 | First Class (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 100$52.23 104 coins4.7%21.11.79×
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 50$45.68 91.35 coins8.3%32.21.34×
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 25$26.67 53.34 coins9.7%24.50.45×
M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 25$24.60 49.19 coins8.9%24.50.45×
USP-S | Stainless (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 17$13.42 26.84 coins7.3%66.70.89×
AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 17$11.62 23.23 coins6.3%86.71.19×
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 13$7.63 15.26 coins5.5%89.00.89×
AK-47 | Slate (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 13$5.22 10.44 coins3.8%99.01.00×
Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Factory New)weapon · consumer25.0%$2.60 5.19 coins5.9%3128.01.11×
Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer30.0%$2.01 4.01 coins5.4%3333.60.98×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$12.2824.55 coins$2.014.01 coins0.16x
Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Factory New)weapon · consumer$12.2824.55 coins$2.605.19 coins0.21x
Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$12.2824.55 coins$2.014.01 coins0.16x
FAMAS | Sundown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff$12.2824.55 coins$66.41133 coins5.41x
★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife$12.2824.55 coins$63.17126 coins5.15x
Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$12.2824.55 coins$2.014.01 coins0.16x
Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$12.2824.55 coins$2.014.01 coins0.16x
AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$12.2824.55 coins$11.6223.23 coins0.95x
Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$12.2824.55 coins$2.014.01 coins0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$12.2889.97%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 2.0%#4b69ff 1.0%covert knife 1.0%#D32CE6 1.0%classified 11.0%restricted 17.0%mil spec 6.0%industrial 6.0%consumer 55.0%best hit —