Tetris
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$82.42
165 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $74.17 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.15%
860 openings, odds method
Variance
15.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 860 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire | 1 in 50 | $2,125 4,249 coins | 57.3% | 15 | 17.2 | 0.87× |
| ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic | 1 in 50 | $1,032 2,063 coins | 27.8% | 13 | 17.2 | 0.76× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 50 | $153 307 coins | 4.1% | 21 | 17.2 | 1.22× |
| SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)weapon · classified | 15.0% | $10.25 20.5 coins | 2.1% | 137 | 129.0 | 1.06× |
| AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested)weapon · red | 37.0% | $9.27 18.53 coins | 4.6% | 310 | 318.2 | 0.97× |
| AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 42.0% | $7.18 14.36 coins | 4.1% | 364 | 361.2 | 1.01× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$82.42165 coins$2,1254,249 coins25.78x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $82.42 | 89.99% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 46.0%epic 2.0%classified 15.0%red 37.0%best hit $2,125 (25.78x)