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The Beast

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$108.04
216 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.55%
216 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
40 openings · below min
30 days
216 openings · below min
since tracking started
216 openings · below min
40.0%128.5%217.0%

Small sample. 216 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d40128.45%±87.9—sample
30d21688.55%±36.1—sample
All21688.55%±36.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$108216 coins$2,2954,590 coins21.24x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$108216 coins$1,6073,213 coins14.87x
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$108216 coins$1,1292,258 coins10.45x
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$108216 coins$1,1292,258 coins10.45x
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$108216 coins$1,1292,258 coins10.45x
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · Covert$108216 coins$1,1292,258 coins10.45x
Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$108216 coins$7971,594 coins7.38x
Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$108216 coins$7971,594 coins7.38x
Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$108216 coins$7971,594 coins7.38x
Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF$108216 coins$7971,594 coins7.38x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$108216 coins$5081,015 coins4.70x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$108216 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,295 (21.24x)