Tiger
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$12.63
25.25 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $11.36 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.40%
4,180 openings, odds method
Variance
9.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,180 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100 | $338 676 coins | 29.7% | 41 | 41.8 | 0.98× |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $195 390 coins | 17.2% | 50 | 41.8 | 1.20× |
| M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 100 | $71.01 142 coins | 6.2% | 43 | 41.8 | 1.03× |
| AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $28.98 57.96 coins | 12.8% | 219 | 209.0 | 1.05× |
| P250 | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 10.0% | $15.39 30.77 coins | 13.5% | 383 | 418.0 | 0.92× |
| M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 30.0% | $4.62 9.24 coins | 12.2% | 1,255 | 1254.0 | 1.00× |
| M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 28.0% | $2.97 5.94 coins | 7.3% | 1,209 | 1170.4 | 1.03× |
| SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff | 24.0% | $0.49 0.98 coins | 1.0% | 980 | 1003.2 | 0.98× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.63 | 89.99% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 1.0%covert 1.0%industrial 29.0%classified 5.0%#4b69ff 10.0%mil spec 30.0%#8847ff 24.0%best hit —