Tiggy Tiger
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.55
35.09 coins
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $15.79 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
114.43%
653 openings, odds method
Variance
31.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 653 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $2,340 4,679 coins | 14.8% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $1,178 2,355 coins | 7.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| ★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 1,000 | $860 1,721 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| ★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 143 | $425 849 coins | 18.8% | 7 | 4.6 | 1.53× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife | 1 in 100 | $251 503 coins | 15.9% | 3 | 6.5 | 0.46× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert | 1 in 40 | $134 267 coins | 21.2% | 12 | 16.3 | 0.74× |
| AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 20 | $28.98 57.96 coins | 9.2% | 41 | 32.6 | 1.26× |
| SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 90.5% | $1.25 2.5 coins | 7.2% | 587 | 591.0 | 0.99× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$17.5535.09 coins$2,3404,679 coins133.4x
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$17.5535.09 coins$2,3404,679 coins133.4x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$17.5535.09 coins$1,1782,355 coins67.13x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $17.55 | 89.98% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.1%covert 3.3%covert knife 1.1%classified 5.0%#8847ff 90.5%best hit $2,340 (133.4x)