Titan Box
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.85
7.69 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $3.46 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.13%
1,668 openings, odds method
Variance
393.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
40.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,668 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary | 1 in 1,000,000 | $73.5K 147,047 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · high | 1 in 20,000 | $2,877 5,754 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 20.0% | $5.18 10.35 coins | 29.9% | 324 | 333.6 | 0.97× |
| Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec | 20.0% | $5.07 10.14 coins | 29.3% | 339 | 333.6 | 1.02× |
| Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 60.0% | $1.99 3.98 coins | 34.5% | 1,005 | 1000.7 | 1.00× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.85 | 89.99% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%high 0.0%restricted 20.0%Mil Spec 20.0%mil spec 60.0%best hit —