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Toptoptop1%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.42
0.84 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
74.39%
3,204 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
16 openings · below min
7 days
79.27%±38.542,938 openings
30 days
74.39%±35.483,204 openings
since tracking started
74.39%±35.483,204 openings
0.5%59.5%118.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h161.19%±0.00—sample
7d2,93879.27%±38.5—sample
30d3,20474.39%±35.5—sample
All3,20474.39%±35.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$0.420.84 coins$115230 coins273.2x
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$0.420.84 coins$79.28159 coins188.8x
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$0.420.84 coins$79.28159 coins188.8x
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryiMadyyyy$0.420.84 coins$79.28159 coins188.8x
Souvenir Galil AR | VariCamo (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon$0.420.84 coins$75.08150 coins178.8x
Souvenir Galil AR | VariCamo (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon$0.420.84 coins$75.08150 coins178.8x
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert$0.420.84 coins$60.29121 coins143.5x
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert$0.420.84 coins$60.29121 coins143.5x
Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert$0.420.84 coins$60.29121 coins143.5x
FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New)weapon · consumer$0.420.84 coins$24.9849.95 coins59.46x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x
MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$0.420.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $115 (273.2x)