Triple Double
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$155.13
310 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $139.61 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
151.64%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
58.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
41.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 4.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified$155310 coins$393786 coins2.53x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertAndushka$155310 coins$387775 coins2.50x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $155 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 0.1%restricted 4.5%classified 4.5%extraordinary 46.5%covert 2.5%Consumer Grade 41.9%best hit —