Ultima billion
A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,076.47
2,153 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
75.41%
576 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 576 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,0762,153 coins$112K223,312 coins103.7x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,0762,153 coins$112K223,312 coins103.7x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,0762,153 coins$112K223,312 coins103.7x
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,0762,153 coins$31.6K63,128 coins29.32x
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,0762,153 coins$31.6K63,128 coins29.32x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$1,0762,153 coins$5,80311,607 coins5.39x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0762,153 coins$106212 coins0.10x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $112K (103.7x)