Ultima rain

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.12
0.24 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.16%
43.6K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
560 openings · below min
7 days
94.15%±13.7438.9K openings
30 days
93.16%±12.9043.6K openings
since tracking started
93.16%±12.9043.6K openings
-0.5%92.0%184.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h56079.48%±104.3—sample
7d38.9K94.15%±13.7—sample
30d43.6K93.16%±12.9—sample
All43.6K93.16%±12.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x
P2000 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$0.120.24 coins$25.7451.47 coins214.5x

Latest dropsnewest first

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$0.120.24 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $25.74 (214.5x)