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Whistle

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$96.99
194 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $87.28 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.78%
1,871 openings, odds method
Variance
50.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 167
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
94.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
134 openings · below min
7 days
104.46%±40.621,172 openings
30 days
97.78%±32.151,871 openings
since tracking started
97.78%±32.151,871 openings
-0.5%101.5%203.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h13482.61%±120.1—odds
7d1,172104.46%±40.6+0.7σodds
30d1,87197.78%±32.2+0.5σodds
All1,87197.78%±32.2+0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,871 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald1 in 500$10.4K 20,866 coins23.9%33.70.80×
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby1 in 250$7,335 14,669 coins33.6%107.51.34×
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 250$2,317 4,635 coins10.6%77.50.94×
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 200$2,125 4,249 coins12.2%109.41.07×
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 22$301 602 coins15.5%9484.21.12×
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 17$56.72 113 coins3.9%116112.31.03×
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common88.0%$0.28 0.55 coins0.3%1,6311646.50.99×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$96.99194 coins$10.4K20,866 coins107.6x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$96.99194 coins$10.4K20,866 coins107.6x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$96.99194 coins$10.4K20,866 coins107.6x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$96.99194 coins$7,33514,669 coins75.63x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$96.99194 coins$7,33514,669 coins75.63x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$96.99194 coins$7,33514,669 coins75.63x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$96.99194 coins$7,33514,669 coins75.63x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$96.99194 coins$7,33514,669 coins75.63x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$96.99194 coins$7,33514,669 coins75.63x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$96.99194 coins$7,33514,669 coins75.63x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$96.99194 coins$0.280.55 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$96.9990.00%7
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 7.5%covert knife 4.5%Common 88.0%best hit $10.4K (107.6x)