Whiteout
A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$9.17
18.34 coins
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $8.25 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.84%
531 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 531 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP7 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 1,000 | $367 733 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $146 292 coins | 17.7% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× |
| P250 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 100 | $105 209 coins | 12.7% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× |
| P250 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $23.04 46.07 coins | 27.9% | 42 | 53.1 | 0.79× |
| USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $19.52 39.04 coins | 23.7% | 59 | 53.1 | 1.11× |
| MP7 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 15.0% | $6.56 13.11 coins | 11.9% | 90 | 79.6 | 1.13× |
| MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 30.0% | $0.37 0.74 coins | 1.3% | 155 | 159.3 | 0.97× |
| MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 32.9% | $0.09 0.17 coins | 0.3% | 175 | 174.7 | 1.00× |
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.17 | 89.96% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmil spec 89.0%classified 11.0%best hit —