Wild Printer

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$177.22
354 coins
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $159.49 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
73.69%
80 openings, odds method
Variance
7.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
80 openings · below min
30 days
80 openings · below min
since tracking started
80 openings · below min
14.0%73.8%133.5%

Small sample. 80 openings and 4.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d8073.69%±58.9—odds
30d8073.69%±58.9—odds
All8073.69%±58.9—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 80 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New)weapon · legendary1 in 1,000$8,972 17,944 coins5.6%00.1—
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$3,414 6,828 coins10.7%00.4—
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 100$1,935 3,870 coins12.1%00.8—
MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 100$1,638 3,277 coins10.3%00.8—
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 11 in 100$1,265 2,529 coins7.9%10.8—
★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50$774 1,549 coins9.7%51.63.13×
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 33$464 928 coins8.7%52.42.08×
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · Phase 11 in 20$360 721 coins11.3%24.00.50×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert13.0%$254 508 coins20.7%710.40.67×
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 20$37.64 75.28 coins1.2%64.01.50×
M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 13$25.41 50.82 coins1.3%96.41.41×
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 20$7.63 15.26 coins0.2%44.01.00×
MAC-10 | Curse (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 20$5.58 11.15 coins0.2%14.00.25×
MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 20$0.82 1.64 coins0.0%34.00.75×
USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 20$0.71 1.42 coins0.0%24.00.50×
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff40.4%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%3532.31.08×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert$177354 coins$7741,549 coins4.37x
★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert$177354 coins$7741,549 coins4.37x
★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert$177354 coins$7741,549 coins4.37x
★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert$177354 coins$7741,549 coins4.37x
★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert$177354 coins$7741,549 coins4.37x

Latest dropsnewest first

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$177354 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$177354 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$177354 coins$25.4150.82 coins0.14x
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$177354 coins$7.6315.26 coins0.04x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$177354 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$177354 coins$7.6315.26 coins0.04x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$177354 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$177354 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)weapon · covert$177354 coins$37.6475.28 coins0.21x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$17790.00%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.1%extraordinary 0.5%covert 25.0%classified 6.0%other 5.0%restricted 23.0%#4b69ff 40.4%best hit $1,265 (7.14x)