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XMAS 15% FOOD

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.00
100 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
123.57%
1,092 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
125.30%±31.171,056 openings
30 days
123.57%±30.241,092 openings
since tracking started
123.57%±30.241,092 openings
92.5%124.8%157.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1,056125.30%±31.2—sample
30d1,092123.57%±30.2—sample
All1,092123.57%±30.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$50.00100 coins$6,22212,443 coins124.4x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald$50.00100 coins$2,3384,676 coins46.76x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$50.00100 coins$1,5243,048 coins30.48x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3tijsv20$50.00100 coins$1,5243,048 coins30.48x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$50.00100 coins$1,5243,048 coins30.48x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3$50.00100 coins$1,5243,048 coins30.48x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · coverttijsv20$50.00100 coins$1,0482,096 coins20.96x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$50.00100 coins$1,0482,096 coins20.96x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$50.00100 coins$1,0482,096 coins20.96x
AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert$50.00100 coins$8841,767 coins17.67x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$50.00100 coins$0.060.11 coins0.00x
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$50.00100 coins$0.090.17 coins0.00x
Charm | That's Bananascharm · uncommon$50.00100 coins$333667 coins6.67x
Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$50.00100 coins$0.060.11 coins0.00x
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$50.00100 coins$0.090.17 coins0.00x
Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New)weapon · restrictedmummiexPT$50.00100 coins$175350 coins3.50x
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$50.00100 coins$0.090.17 coins0.00x
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$50.00100 coins$0.090.17 coins0.00x
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$50.00100 coins$0.090.17 coins0.00x
Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · industrial$50.00100 coins$0.060.11 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,222 (124.4x)