XXX 6%

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$25.00

50 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

76.35%

227 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

24 openings · below min

7 days

123 openings · below min

30 days

227 openings · below min

since tracking started

227 openings · below min

-0.5%116.3%233.0%

Small sample. 227 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	24	98.72%±133.8	—	sample
7d	123	64.50%±57.1	—	sample
30d	227	76.35%±57.2	—	sample
All	227	76.35%±57.2	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogChicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$25.0050 coins$1,3012,602 coins52.04x7d

★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$25.0050 coins$7021,404 coins28.09x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerLer1$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · gold$25.0050 coins$296592 coins11.84x20h

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$25.0050 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x20h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,301 (52.04x)