Yosoykush Special

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$16.85

33.7 coins

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $15.16 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d

82.89%

2,106 openings, odds method

Variance

62.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 133

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

89.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

130 openings · below min

7 days

85.01%±40.221,488 openings

30 days

82.89%±33.812,106 openings

since tracking started

82.89%±33.812,106 openings

-0.5%121.8%244.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	130	107.30%±136.1	—	odds
7d	1,488	85.01%±40.2	−0.2σ	odds
30d	2,106	82.89%±33.8	−0.4σ	odds
All	2,106	82.89%±33.8	−0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,106 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert	1 in 2,000	$3,722 7,444 coins	12.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$3,414 6,828 coins	11.3%	2	1.1	1.90×
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary	1 in 1,000	$1,493 2,987 coins	9.8%	1	2.1	0.47×
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$1,252 2,504 coins	8.3%	3	2.1	1.42×
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic	1 in 500	$481 961 coins	6.3%	3	4.2	0.71×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 400	$308 616 coins	5.1%	5	5.3	0.95×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 400	$220 440 coins	3.6%	6	5.3	1.14×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100	$169 339 coins	11.2%	21	21.1	1.00×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 67	$129 258 coins	12.7%	30	31.6	0.95×
AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 13	$39.19 78.38 coins	19.4%	143	157.9	0.91×
P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer	89.0%	<$0.01 0.01 coins	0.0%	1,892	1874.3	1.01×

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$16.8533.7 coins$3,4146,828 coins202.6x1d

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$16.8533.7 coins$3,4146,828 coins202.6x7d

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$16.8533.7 coins$1,4932,987 coins88.63x1d

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$16.8533.7 coins$1,2522,504 coins74.30x3h

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$16.8533.7 coins$1,2522,504 coins74.30x5d

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$16.8533.7 coins$1,2522,504 coins74.30x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$16.8533.7 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x12m

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumercherrylea$16.8533.7 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x12m

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$16.8533.7 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x12m

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerdivaxxdiva$16.8533.7 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x12m

P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$16.8533.7 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x17m

AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New)weapon · covertcherrylea$16.8533.7 coins$39.1978.38 coins2.33x17m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$16.85	90.00%	11

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 10.4%extraordinary 0.3%legendary 0.1%epic 0.2%consumer 89.0%best hit $3,414 (202.6x)