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1.25% Green

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.45
2.23 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.25%
2,088 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
89.66%±34.481,890 openings
30 days
87.25%±32.312,088 openings
since tracking started
87.25%±32.312,088 openings
54.5%89.8%125.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1,89089.66%±34.5—sample
30d2,08887.25%±32.3—sample
All2,08887.25%±32.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.452.23 gems$144221 gems99.00x
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.452.23 gems$144221 gems99.00x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1.452.23 gems$95.50147 gems65.89x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1.452.23 gems$95.50147 gems65.89x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1.452.23 gems$95.50147 gems65.89x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1.452.23 gems$95.50147 gems65.89x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1.452.23 gems$95.50147 gems65.89x
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · CovertM4Ggi-S$1.452.23 gems$92.65143 gems63.92x
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$1.452.23 gems$92.65143 gems63.92x
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$1.452.23 gems$92.65143 gems63.92x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerM4Ggi-S$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$1.452.23 gems$95.50147 gems65.89x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$1.452.23 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $144 (99.00x)