1 Tapped

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$49.22
75.72 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $44.29 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
106.32%
165 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
8 openings · below min
7 days
107.57%±17.73159 openings
30 days
106.32%±17.41165 openings
since tracking started
106.32%±17.41165 openings
-0.5%73.0%146.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h866.90%±79.1—odds
7d159107.57%±17.7+1.9σodds
30d165106.32%±17.4+1.8σodds
All165106.32%±17.4+1.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 165 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classified$49.2275.72 gems$14.1421.75 gems0.29x
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classified$49.2275.72 gems$14.1421.75 gems0.29x
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$49.2275.72 gems$20.7931.99 gems0.42x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$49.2275.72 gems$19.5230.03 gems0.40x
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$49.2275.72 gems$41.5063.85 gems0.84x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$49.2275.72 gems$19.5230.03 gems0.40x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$49.2289.99%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 19.0%classified 32.0%covert 31.5%rare 5.0%Classified 12.5%best hit —