Price
$49.22
75.72 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $44.29 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
106.32%
165 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 165 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classified$49.2275.72 gems$14.1421.75 gems0.29x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedBerki$49.2275.72 gems$31.3048.16 gems0.64x
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classified$49.2275.72 gems$14.1421.75 gems0.29x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$49.2275.72 gems$108166 gems2.19x
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$49.2275.72 gems$41.5063.85 gems0.84x
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classifiedWEZY$49.2275.72 gems$14.1421.75 gems0.29x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$49.2275.72 gems$31.3048.16 gems0.64x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $49.22 | 89.99% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 19.0%classified 32.0%covert 31.5%rare 5.0%Classified 12.5%best hit —