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100% Emerald

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$59.49
91.52 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $53.54 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
108.31%
1,069 openings, odds method
Variance
18.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
190 openings · below min
7 days
105.90%±27.60918 openings
30 days
108.31%±25.581,069 openings
since tracking started
108.31%±25.581,069 openings
56.0%117.2%178.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h190117.08%±60.7—odds
7d918105.90%±27.6+1.1σodds
30d1,069108.31%±25.6+1.4σodds
All1,069108.31%±25.6+1.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,075 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 1,000$6,507 10,011 gems12.2%41.13.72×
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 250$1,254 1,929 gems9.4%64.31.40×
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · #EB4B4B1 in 67$1,032 1,587 gems28.9%716.10.43×
★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary1 in 50$232 357 gems8.7%2921.51.35×
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 25$169 260 gems12.6%3343.00.77×
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 20$68.00 105 gems6.4%5353.70.99×
SCAR-20 | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted10.0%$34.00 52.3 gems6.3%112107.51.04×
Dual Berettas | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec20.0%$22.65 34.85 gems8.5%198215.00.92×
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec27.0%$8.69 13.37 gems4.4%289290.21.00×
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical30.0%$4.85 7.46 gems2.7%344322.51.07×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$59.4991.52 gems$6,50710,011 gems109.4x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$59.4991.52 gems$6,50710,011 gems109.4x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$59.4991.52 gems$6,50710,011 gems109.4x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldPOTATO$59.4991.52 gems$6,50710,011 gems109.4x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$59.4991.52 gems$1,2541,929 gems21.07x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$59.4991.52 gems$1,2541,929 gems21.07x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$59.4991.52 gems$1,2541,929 gems21.07x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$59.4991.52 gems$1,2541,929 gems21.07x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$59.4991.52 gems$1,2541,929 gems21.07x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$59.4991.52 gems$1,2541,929 gems21.07x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$59.4991.52 gems$8.6913.37 gems0.15x
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$59.4991.52 gems$4.857.46 gems0.08x
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$59.4991.52 gems$8.6913.37 gems0.15x
SCAR-20 | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$59.4991.52 gems$34.0052.3 gems0.57x
Dual Berettas | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$59.4991.52 gems$22.6534.85 gems0.38x
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythicalleaxx93$59.4991.52 gems$4.857.46 gems0.08x
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$59.4991.52 gems$4.857.46 gems0.08x
★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$59.4991.52 gems$232357 gems3.90x
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$59.4991.52 gems$4.857.46 gems0.08x
CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$59.4991.52 gems$8.6913.37 gems0.15x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$59.4990.00%10
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.1%extraordinary 0.4%#EB4B4B 1.5%Extraordinary 2.0%restricted 14.0%classified 5.0%mil spec 47.0%Mythical 30.0%best hit $6,507 (109.4x)