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10% Good Fortune

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.91
19.86 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
175.70%
138 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
86 openings · below min
30 days
138 openings · below min
since tracking started
138 openings · below min
29.0%165.3%301.5%

Small sample. 138 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d86140.04%±110.6—sample
30d138175.70%±125.0—sample
All138175.70%±125.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$12.9119.86 gems$9261,425 gems71.75x
★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife$12.9119.86 gems$541832 gems41.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$12.9119.86 gems$71.81110 gems5.56x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumerFlashly$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer$12.9119.86 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $926 (71.75x)