Price
$15.89
24.45 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.71%
776 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 776 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$15.8924.45 gems$2,4183,720 gems152.1x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$15.8924.45 gems$1,3232,036 gems83.26x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$15.8924.45 gems$1,3232,036 gems83.26x
Latest dropsnewest first
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specMr. Waggles$15.8924.45 gems$0.530.82 gems0.03x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$15.8924.45 gems$1,3232,036 gems83.26x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,418 (152.1x)