10% Juicy Dopplers

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$16.25
25 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
73.27%
370 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
150 openings · below min
7 days
370 openings · below min
30 days
370 openings · below min
since tracking started
370 openings · below min
42.5%86.8%131.0%

Small sample. 370 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h15089.07%±41.4—sample
7d37073.27%±30.0—sample
30d37073.27%±30.0—sample
All37073.27%±30.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$16.2525 gems$570877 gems35.06x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$16.2525 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$16.2525 gems$98.49152 gems6.06x
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert$16.2525 gems$98.49152 gems6.06x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$16.2525 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$16.2525 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$16.2525 gems$70.27108 gems4.32x
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$16.2525 gems$70.27108 gems4.32x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$16.2525 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$16.2525 gems$253389 gems15.55x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $570 (35.06x)