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10% Katowice

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,397.45
2,150 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $1,257.69 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.16%
414 openings, odds method
Variance
12.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
30 openings · below min
7 days
82.26%±37.63348 openings
30 days
97.16%±34.50414 openings
since tracking started
97.16%±34.50414 openings
-0.5%68.0%136.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h307.88%±128.1—odds
7d34882.26%±37.6−0.4σodds
30d41497.16%±34.5+0.4σodds
All41497.16%±34.5+0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 414 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 100$34.1K 52,490 gems27.1%24.10.48×
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 100$26K 40,000 gems20.7%64.11.45×
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 100$18.4K 28,238 gems14.6%64.11.45×
Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 100$15.7K 24,100 gems12.5%44.10.97×
Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 100$12.2K 18,700 gems9.7%84.11.93×
Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 100$7,238 11,135 gems5.8%24.10.48×
Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 100$4,500 6,923 gems3.6%44.10.97×
Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary1 in 100$3,243 4,989 gems2.6%84.11.93×
Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 100$2,385 3,670 gems1.9%24.10.48×
Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 100$1,917 2,949 gems1.5%24.10.48×
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade90.0%$2.15 3.31 gems0.2%370372.60.99×
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$1,3972,150 gems$34.1K52,490 gems24.41x
Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendary$1,3972,150 gems$34.1K52,490 gems24.41x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3972,150 gems$26K40,000 gems18.61x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkableCODE SEXYBOOM / 20K LB$1,3972,150 gems$26K40,000 gems18.61x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3972,150 gems$26K40,000 gems18.61x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3972,150 gems$26K40,000 gems18.61x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3972,150 gems$26K40,000 gems18.61x
Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3972,150 gems$26K40,000 gems18.61x
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3972,150 gems$18.4K28,238 gems13.13x
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,3972,150 gems$18.4K28,238 gems13.13x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$12K LB Wasted.bet$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer GradeKICK/JUSTSAN666$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x
MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade$1,3972,150 gems$2.153.31 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 02:04 UTC$1,39790.00%11
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 3.0%remarkable 7.0%Consumer Grade 90.0%best hit $34.1K (24.41x)