10% KNIFE & DOPPLER

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$19.03
29.28 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
80.66%
3,220 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
495 openings · below min
7 days
84.94%±18.871,898 openings
30 days
80.66%±13.973,220 openings
since tracking started
80.66%±13.973,220 openings
43.5%79.5%115.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h49579.56%±35.2—sample
7d1,89884.94%±18.9—sample
30d3,22080.66%±14.0—sample
All3,22080.66%±14.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$19.0329.28 gems$6881,059 gems36.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$19.0329.28 gems$6881,059 gems36.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$19.0329.28 gems$6881,059 gems36.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$19.0329.28 gems$6881,059 gems36.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$19.0329.28 gems$6881,059 gems36.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$19.0329.28 gems$6881,059 gems36.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covert$19.0329.28 gems$6881,059 gems36.15x

Latest dropsnewest first

UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New)weapon · consumer$19.0329.28 gems$0.030.04 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $688 (36.15x)