10% Stick'em Up

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.68
4.13 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
102.03%
1,603 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
99.22%±37.791,281 openings
7 days
103.09%±34.911,569 openings
30 days
102.03%±34.211,603 openings
since tracking started
102.03%±34.211,603 openings
61.0%99.8%138.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,28199.22%±37.8—sample
7d1,569103.09%±34.9—sample
30d1,603102.03%±34.2—sample
All1,603102.03%±34.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | ESL Wolf (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · exotic$2.684.13 gems$307473 gems114.5x
Sticker | ESL Wolf (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · exotic$2.684.13 gems$307473 gems114.5x
Sticker | ESL Wolf (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · exotic$2.684.13 gems$307473 gems114.5x
★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$2.684.13 gems$182280 gems67.87x
Sticker | 100 Thieves (Holo) | Boston 2018sticker · Sticker$2.684.13 gems$143220 gems53.34x
Sticker | 100 Thieves (Holo) | Boston 2018sticker · Sticker$2.684.13 gems$143220 gems53.34x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$2.684.13 gems$0.160.24 gems0.06x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$2.684.13 gems$0.160.24 gems0.06x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$2.684.13 gems$0.160.24 gems0.06x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$2.684.13 gems$0.160.24 gems0.06x
Sticker | Great Wave (Foil)sticker · exotic$2.684.13 gems$6.8810.59 gems2.56x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$2.684.13 gems$0.160.24 gems0.06x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High GradeYonatan -_-$2.684.13 gems$0.160.24 gems0.06x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$2.684.13 gems$0.160.24 gems0.06x
Sticker | Baitedsticker · High Grade$2.684.13 gems$0.160.24 gems0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $307 (114.5x)