15% Roll

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$8.46
13.02 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
82.59%
204 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
204 openings · below min
7 days
204 openings · below min
30 days
204 openings · below min
since tracking started
204 openings · below min
52.0%82.5%113.0%

Small sample. 204 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h20482.59%±29.8—sample
7d20482.59%±29.8—sample
30d20482.59%±29.8—sample
All20482.59%±29.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$8.4613.02 gems$0.230.35 gems0.03x
P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$8.4613.02 gems$0.230.35 gems0.03x
P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$8.4613.02 gems$0.230.35 gems0.03x
P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$8.4613.02 gems$0.230.35 gems0.03x
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)weapon · blue$8.4613.02 gems$0.580.89 gems0.07x
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New)weapon · classified$8.4613.02 gems$15.9824.59 gems1.89x
P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$8.4613.02 gems$0.230.35 gems0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —