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1percent-Case-Hardened

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.42
2.18 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
117.08%
4,894 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
440 openings · below min
7 days
118.65%±46.294,510 openings
30 days
117.08%±44.424,894 openings
since tracking started
117.08%±44.424,894 openings
-0.5%82.5%165.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h44055.83%±80.4—sample
7d4,510118.65%±46.3—sample
30d4,894117.08%±44.4—sample
All4,894117.08%±44.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedToby$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedToby$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedToby$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$1.422.18 gems$425653 gems299.8x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerstrafe$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$1.422.18 gems<$0.010.01 gems0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $425 (299.8x)