1% Drag Knife Lotto

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.90
2.92 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
79.66%
220 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
214 openings · below min
30 days
220 openings · below min
since tracking started
220 openings · below min
-0.5%96.0%192.5%

Small sample. 220 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d21481.83%±110.0—sample
30d22079.66%±107.0—sample
All22079.66%±107.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$1.902.92 gems$162250 gems85.54x
★ Kukri Knife | Vanillaknife$1.902.92 gems$161248 gems84.78x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Dragon Talesticker · high$1.902.92 gems$0.050.07 gems0.02x
Sticker | Dragon Talesticker · high$1.902.92 gems$0.050.07 gems0.02x
Sticker | Dragon Talesticker · high$1.902.92 gems$0.050.07 gems0.02x
Sticker | Dragon Talesticker · high$1.902.92 gems$0.050.07 gems0.02x
Sticker | Dragon Talesticker · high$1.902.92 gems$0.050.07 gems0.02x
Sticker | Dragon Talesticker · high$1.902.92 gems$0.050.07 gems0.02x
Sticker | Dragon Talesticker · high$1.902.92 gems$0.050.07 gems0.02x
Sticker | Dragon Talesticker · high$1.902.92 gems$0.050.07 gems0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $162 (85.54x)