1% Prince
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.66
27.17 gems
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $15.89 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.48%
9,980 openings, odds method
Variance
77.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 156
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,250 | $2,581 3,971 gems | 13.0% | 8 | 8.2 | 0.97× |
| AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 769 | $1,885 2,899 gems | 15.4% | 23 | 13.4 | 1.72× |
| AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 667 | $1,532 2,356 gems | 14.5% | 13 | 15.4 | 0.84× |
| AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn)weapon · legendary | 1 in 357 | $1,358 2,089 gems | 23.9% | 31 | 28.8 | 1.08× |
| AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 1 in 278 | $1,254 1,929 gems | 28.4% | 36 | 37.1 | 0.97× |
| SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer Grade | 22.0% | $2.14 3.29 gems | 3.0% | 2,243 | 2265.1 | 0.99× |
| MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 22.0% | $0.88 1.36 gems | 1.2% | 2,214 | 2265.1 | 0.98× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer | 25.0% | $0.21 0.32 gems | 0.3% | 2,617 | 2574.0 | 1.02× |
| Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 30.0% | $0.16 0.24 gems | 0.3% | 3,111 | 3088.8 | 1.01× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AWP | The Prince (Factory New)weapon · covertFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$17.6627.17 gems$2,5813,971 gems146.1x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $17.66 | 89.98% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.7%legendary 0.3%Consumer Grade 22.0%consumer 77.0%best hit $2,581 (146.1x)